IEEFA (Trivedi, Shrivastava, Sachdeva Michael) · June 2026
Potential drivers of carbon price formation in the CCTS
Analyses how a carbon price will actually form in India's intensity-based CCTS. Key insight: because allocation scales with output, growth creates both credit supply (from efficient firms) and demand (from laggards) at once, making benchmark calibration the central lever for scarcity. Also dissects why excluding the power sector removes the largest emitter and the fuel-switching channel, and why companion policies (PAT, RCO, PLI, green hydrogen) can depress prices without baseline revision.